Blogging Senate forecasts and results in the WA Senate re-election until officially declared.

Twitter: @AU_Truth_Seeker


Tuesday, 1 October 2013

Senate button presses

Live blogging here today and also tweeting @AU_Truth_Seeker

6pm: Margin between LDP and FF at critical point just 2600. If FF eliminated at this point, No Carbon Tax would have been elected off just 0.1% of the vote.

3.30pm: AEC Advises that Distribution of Preferences in pdf format will be available today. I'll be posting analysis here when I can

3.20pm: AEC Tweets SA outcome as expected below

3.05pm SA unconfirmed: Nothing official yet, but a picture posted by a reporter evidently present at the SA button press reveals: 2 LNP, 1 ALP, 1 GRN, 1 XEN, 1 FF. Awaiting confirmation by AEC.

3pm VIC results: 2 ALP, 2 LNP, 1 GRN, 1 Motoring enthusiasts. Brrm Brrm!!

1pm Analysis shows that the Liberal Party s Zed Seselja got elected before the Animal Justice ticket votes would have flowed his way

ACT: 1 ALP, 1 LIB as expected. Awaiting distribution of preferences

11:40: AEC advises that distribution will be delayed until 2pm. ACT likely soon.

11am: STILL waiting. 1 hour is much longer than expected.

10:30am still waiting...

9:20am Senate button presses will be happening today as advised by AEC:
Victoria: 10am
ACT: 11:30am
SA: 2pm

11 comments:

  1. A certain commenter over at pollbludger is reporting that a list is available for Victoria (and it's the generally expected list), so it may just be the case that the AEC are being a bit lax in reporting it.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Hmmm. Nothing in their website and they haven't tweeted it. ..

      Not expecting any surprises for this one

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    2. D@W reported it. No real evidence yet

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  2. Is this scheduled for today? On the AEC site, I only see one for the ACT at 2pm.

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    Replies
    1. Button presses occur before the formal declaration of winner

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    2. ACT distribution up:

      http://vtr.aec.gov.au/External/SenateStateDop-17496-ACT.pdf

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  3. This comment has been removed by the author.

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  4. SA results tweeted:

    https://twitter.com/msmarto/status/384900591631491072/photo/1

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Evidence doesn't get better than this.

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  5. Could Griff have won if the ALP had preferenced him above Birmingham?

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    Replies
    1. I think so but plan on analysing this in the next few hours so check back soon

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