For the fourth state in our series, we analyse election likelihoods in WA.
Results are as follows:
3 LNP, 1 ALP
GRN: 80% likely
SPORT: 52% likely
PUP: 38% likely
ALP: 21% likely
LDP: 10% likely
- The Sport Party have polled exceptionally well - 0.2%, and look set to take a senate seat on the back of 2000-3000 votes. In fact, the Sport Party have not even outpolled Craig Thomson.
- The LDP again had a positive ballot draw, group B, and this lead to them polling 3% on primaries and having an outside chance of election in WA.
- As expected, David Wirrpanda has not succeeded in his goal to get elected to the Senate.
We're almost reaching the point where the senate would be more representative if it were chosen like conscription in the days of old - just by drawing lots from a hat.