For the third state in our series, we analyse election likelihoods in Tasmania.
Results are as follows:
2 ALP, 2 LNP, 1 Green
Palmer United: 81% likely
LNP 7% (3rd candidate)
Family First: 0.1%
- Palmer United: Another state, another different minor party being elected.
- The prospect, albeit unlikely of a 4-2 Left-Right split is an appalling slight of democracy when 52% of Tasmanians voted for a Right candidate.