Applying statistical and financial analysis techniques to analyse and forecast election outcomes across Australia. A blog by a politically non-aligned financial modeller and statistician.
Blogging Senate forecasts and results in the WA Senate re-election until officially declared.
Saturday, 7 September 2013
TAS projections - actual votes at 17%
2 ALP, 2 LNP are 100% likely
These are based on 1000 Monte Carlo simulations based on ACTUAL votes at approx 17% counted.